Welcome back to #WonkyWednesday. Each week I take a deep dive into the electoral and registration data that make up Onondaga County and New York State. Over the next few weeks, I will be investigating the City of Syracuse. Usually I dedicate #wonkywednesday articles to races happening in the current year, however there are no races in Syracuse this year. I am continuing my run of Syracuse articles to highlight the Syracuse Independent Redistricting Commission will be holding three more public meetings over the next 3 weeks to develop their draft redistricting plan. This citizen led redistricting process depends on you to give input before they redistrict the five common council districts that make up our city. At the end of this article, I will post the next meeting times so you can attend. This week I am focusing on the most diverse Common Council District, Common Council #5.

In the 2020 Census the 5th Common Council district had 29,717residents. This means the 5^th Common Council district sits directly in the middle in terms of population of all five districts and near the ideal average of 29,724. The racial makeup of the Common Council 5 according to the census is 57% white, 25% Black, 10% Hispanic, 5% Asian and 3% other. This makes it the least diverse district of all five in the City of Syracuse. It is also the only White majority district in the City of Syracuse. Voter registration wise it is 57% Democratic, 13% GOP, 24% Blank or non-enrolled. It is also an extremely highly registered district with 15,137 registered voters, the second most in the city.

Like most of the City of Syracuse districts it is a reliable Democratic district. Since 2009 Democrats have lost 279 voters. The GOP continues a steady decline losing nine hundred voters over the same period. The N/E has also lost voters since 2009, losing 169 registrants. Despite all three populaces losing voters this region is getting increasingly Democratic over time as it lost less percentage wise since 009 then the other two. The district is experiencing the same decline in registration the rest of the city is suffering from since the 2020 election and we should see an increase in registration leading up to 2024.

The third Common Council district stretches over five different wards inside the city. It is the only districts that does not contain a Ward entirely inside of it. This district though is dominated by the 17^th ward portion. The liberal Democratic enclave of the east side not only has the most registered voters, but the Democratic lean gives the district its heavy Democratic influence. The portion of the fifth ward that is part of the district is the main section of Eastwood and is seen as the other half of the district, though in terms of size it is closer to a third of the district. Small parts of the 4^th, 16^th, and 19^th are add-ons to the district.

For our #wonkywednesday articles this year we will be using five races to compare how the subjects of our articles perform. We will be using the Presidential, State Senate, and Congressional races to see how our subject performs in a high turnout federal year. We will also use last year’s Supreme Court Race for a base on how the voters in the district react in a low turnout year. For the City of Syracuse, I am including last year’s mayoral race as well. The 5^th Common Council District not only is an exceptionally reliable Democratic district they also vote in large numbers which skews the city heavily Democratic, often making the margin for city wide races. In 2020 Biden won this district by 58.76 points, Rachel May won this district by 51.20 points, and Dana Balter won by 44.13 points. In 2021 Anthony Brindisi performed well here winning by 50.83 points. Mayor Walsh performed well here with 37.57-point margin.

The City of Syracuse Independent redistricting Commission will meet four more times over the next six weeks to hear from the public on what they want from their new districts. They will be holding hearings at each of the city high schools. The first redistricting was on Friday March 18^th at ITC High School, and the second at Fowler PSA on March 26^th, and third hearing was at Henninger High School at 7pm. You can watch the live streams from Fairmaps CNY here. The final two pre-draft meetings will be April 24^th at Corcoran High School at 4pm and April 28^th at Nottingham High School at 7pm. You can give testimony about what you would like to see in your city for the next ten years. In May they will release draft maps and another round of hearings will begin.

Welcome back to #WonkyWednesday. Each week I take a deep dive into the electoral and registration data that make up Onondaga County and New York State. Over the next few weeks, I will be investigating the City of Syracuse. Usually I dedicate #wonkywednesday articles to races happening in the current year, however there are no races in Syracuse this year. I am continuing my run of Syracuse articles to highlight the Syracuse Independent Redistricting Commission will be holding three more public meetings over the next 3 weeks to develop their draft redistricting plan. This citizen led redistricting process depends on you to give input before they redistrict the five common council districts that make up our city. At the end of this article, I will post the next meeting times so you can attend. This week I am focusing on the most diverse Common Council District, Common Council #4.

In the 2020 Census the 4th Common Council district had 29,640 residents. This means the 4^th Common Council district sits directly in the middle in terms of population of all five districts and near the ideal average of 29,724. The racial makeup of the Common Council 4 according to the census is 41% white, 39% Black, 10% Hispanic, 8% Asian and 2% other. This makes it the most diverse district of all five in the City of Syracuse. However even with this diversity it is still a White plurality district. Voter registration wise it is 66% Democratic, 7% GOP, 23% Blank or non-enrolled. This is the most Democratic of all five districts but with just 12,324 registered voters it contains the least number of registered voters of all five districts.

This district has always been a tremendously Democratic district. Since 2009 Democrats have lost 485 voters. Once again though the change is in GOP enrollment decline. The GOP has lost 332 voters since 2009 and is solidly in third place. The N/E has also lost voters since 2009, losing fifty-six registrants. More than any other district the voter registration declines and gains are based on the year and rolls with Presidential elections. Syracuse University makes up a large part of this district and urban cores also suffer from registration lapses in between Presidential years.

The third Common Council district stretches over five different wards inside the city. It has parts of the 9^th, 12^th, 14^th, 16^th, 17^th, 19^th wards and all of Wards 15 & 18 wards. Though two inner city wards are encompassed in the fourth district, the district is dominated by the 19^th ward portions. This award is made up of two distinct portions of urban low-income residents west of I81 and university populations east of 81. Also, the main campus of Syracuse University (16) and Westcott neighborhood (17) acts a balance to this district setting up two halves in terms of diversity and population. No matter the portion of the district though the Democrats dominate every portion with the non-enrolled dwarfing the GOP.

For our #wonkywednesday articles this year we will be using five races to compare how the subjects of our articles perform. We will be using the Presidential, State Senate, and Congressional races to see how our subject performs in a high turnout federal year. We will also use last year’s Supreme Court Race for a base on how the voters in the district react in a low turnout year. For the City of Syracuse, I am including last year’s mayoral race as well. The 4^th Common Council District predictably is the most reliable Democratic performing district in Syracuse. In 2020 Biden won this district by 78.68 points, Rachel May won this district by 71.26 points, and Dana Balter won by 66.72 points. In 2021 Anthony Brindisi performed well here winning by 70.30 points. Despite this being the most diverse district Mayor Walsh still won this district by 20.39 points. However, we should note this is the most competitive district for the Democratic candidate Khalid Bey and it is likely the diversity of this district played a role.

The City of Syracuse Independent redistricting Commission will meet four more times over the next six weeks to hear from the public on what they want from their new districts. They will be holding hearings at each of the city high schools. The first redistricting was on Friday March 18^th at ITC High School, and the second at Fowler PSA on March 26^th, and third hearing was at Henninger High School at 7pm. You can watch the live streams from Fairmaps CNY here. The final two pre-draft meetings will be April 24^th at Corcoran High School at 4pm and April 28^th at Nottingham High School at 7pm. You can give testimony about what you would like to see in your city for the next ten years. In May they will release draft maps and another round of hearings will begin.

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Welcome back to #WonkyWednesday.  Each week I take a deep dive into the electoral and registration data that make up Onondaga County and New York State.  Over the next few weeks I will be investigating the City of Syracuse.  Usually I dedicate #wonkywednesday articles to races happening in the current year, however there are no races in Syracuse this year.  I am continuing my run of Syracuse articles to highlight the Syracuse Independent Redistricting Commission will be holding 3 more public meetings over the next 3 weeks to develop their draft redistricting plan.  This citizen led redistricting process depends on you to give input before they redistrict the five common council districts that make up our city.  At the end of this article, I will post the next meeting times so you can attend.  This week I am focusing on the most populous Common Council District, Common Council #3.

In the 2020 Census the 1st Common Council district was reported to have 28,932 residents in the 2020 Census.  This means the 3^rd Common Council district is slightly under populated, and the 2^nd least populated district in the city. The racial makeup of the Common Council 3 according to the census is 49% white, 35% Black, 8% Hispanic, 3% Asian and 5% other.  The racial makeup of the district, though technically majority minority, is the 2^nd least racially diverse in the city.  Voter registration wise it is 59% Democratic, 13% GOP, 23% Blank or non-enrolled.  At 15,516 registered voters it contains the most registered voters in the city despite its smaller population size.

This is the last district other than the 1^st common council district to elect a GOP representative.  In 2011 current County Executive Ryan McMahon left the 3^rd Comon Council District to run for the County Legislature and it has been Democratic ever since.  Looking at the trend since 2009 we can see this district truly is changing.  Democrats have gained 228 voters since 2009.  Once again though the change is in GOP enrollment decline.  The GOP has lost 1,175 voters since 2009 and is solidly in third place.  The N/E has had modest gains of 218 voters since 2009.  All registrations are currently on the decline which is normal in a post presidential year, we should add voters as the midterms and approach to the next Presidential year in 2024 are underway.

The third Common Council district stretches over 5 different wards inside the city.  It has parts of the 11^th, 12^th, 14^th, & 19^th wards.  The only ward totally enclosed in the district is Ward 13.  This is a district dominated by the Valley section of Syracuse which makes up the 13^th & 14^th ward.  Strathmore in the 11^th & 12^th ward is a much smaller segment of the district.  Once again every ward portion of the district is dominate by Democratic enrollment and the GOP lagging in 3^rd place behind the non-enrolled.

For our #wonkywednesday articles this year we will be using 5 races to compare how the subjects of our articles perform.  We will be using the Presidential, State Senate, and Congressional races to see how our subject performs in a high turnout federal year.  We will also use last year’s Supreme Court Race for a base on how the voters in the district react in a low turnout year.  For the City of Syracuse, I am including last year’s mayoral race as well.  The 3rd Common Council district a solid Democratic performing district in both high and low turnout years.  In 2020 Biden won this district by 58.9 points, Rachel May won this district by 49.60 points, and Dana Balter won by 40.05 points.  In 2021 Anthony Brindisi performed well here winning by 44.84 points and Mayor Walsh won this district by 34.83.  This was the 2^nd best district for Mayor Walsh in 2021.

The City of Syracuse Independent redistricting Commission will meet 4 more times over the next six weeks to hear from the public on what they want from their new districts.  They will be holding hearings at each of the city high schools.  The first redistricting was held on Friday March 18^th at ITC High School, and the second at Fowler PSA on March 26^th.  You can watch the live stream from Fairmaps CNY here.  The next three meetings will be April 7 at Henniger High School at 7pm, April 24^th at Corcoran High School at 4pm, and April 28^th at Nottingham High School at 7pm.  You can give testimony about what you would like to see in your city for the next ten years.  In May they will release draft maps and another round of hearings will begin.

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