I appeared on Newschannel 9 shortly after the decision that tossed the NY Congressional and State Senate maps to discuss what we know and don’t know on the path forward.
Judge’s surprise retirement opens 2nd seat on Onondaga County’s top criminal court – Syracuse.com
“Dougherty’s retirement July 31 sets in motion a rare circumstance, because primary elections have already passed. But he also will leave before an Aug. 3 cutoff for this year’s ballot, guaranteeing that his seat will be filled this November, said the county’s Democratic elections commissioner, Dustin Czarny.
Because of the timing, the parties will have 10 days — Aug. 1 to 10 — to hold a meeting to select a candidate for the November ballot, Czarny said. There will be no chance to hold a primary to challenge the parties’ designees.”
Commissioner in a Car: NY Redistricting and Early Voting deadlines are on deck.
Talking NY Redistricting, Early Voting Deadlines, Legislation that might be passed as the legislature resumes session, and remarks on the revelations around Kevin McCarthy and Mark Meadows roles in the insurrection.
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How changes to state voting rules impact college students – Spectrum News
College campuses with at least 300 active voters will need to have a polling place. According to the Onondaga County Board of Elections, colleges like Syracuse University, LeMoyne and Onondaga Community College already have this in place. This new voting rule in New York would also prevent college campuses from being divided into multiple voting districts. In future years, districts will need to be adjusted to include as much of a college campus in one district as possible.
“You can only have 2,000 voters in an election district, so a very large college campus like Syracuse University for example may still have to have more than one district, but they’re all going to vote at the same polling place,” said Dustin Czarny, Democratic Onondaga County elections commissioner.
Wonky Wednesday: Syracuse’s 5th Common Council District.
Welcome back to #WonkyWednesday. Each week I take a deep dive into the electoral and registration data that make up Onondaga County and New York State. Over the next few weeks, I will be investigating the City of Syracuse. Usually I dedicate #wonkywednesday articles to races happening in the current year, however there are no races in Syracuse this year. I am continuing my run of Syracuse articles to highlight the Syracuse Independent Redistricting Commission will be holding three more public meetings over the next 3 weeks to develop their draft redistricting plan. This citizen led redistricting process depends on you to give input before they redistrict the five common council districts that make up our city. At the end of this article, I will post the next meeting times so you can attend. This week I am focusing on the most diverse Common Council District, Common Council #5.

In the 2020 Census the 5th Common Council district had 29,717residents. This means the 5th Common Council district sits directly in the middle in terms of population of all five districts and near the ideal average of 29,724. The racial makeup of the Common Council 5 according to the census is 57% white, 25% Black, 10% Hispanic, 5% Asian and 3% other. This makes it the least diverse district of all five in the City of Syracuse. It is also the only White majority district in the City of Syracuse. Voter registration wise it is 57% Democratic, 13% GOP, 24% Blank or non-enrolled. It is also an extremely highly registered district with 15,137 registered voters, the second most in the city.

Like most of the City of Syracuse districts it is a reliable Democratic district. Since 2009 Democrats have lost 279 voters. The GOP continues a steady decline losing nine hundred voters over the same period. The N/E has also lost voters since 2009, losing 169 registrants. Despite all three populaces losing voters this region is getting increasingly Democratic over time as it lost less percentage wise since 009 then the other two. The district is experiencing the same decline in registration the rest of the city is suffering from since the 2020 election and we should see an increase in registration leading up to 2024.

The third Common Council district stretches over five different wards inside the city. It is the only districts that does not contain a Ward entirely inside of it. This district though is dominated by the 17th ward portion. The liberal Democratic enclave of the east side not only has the most registered voters, but the Democratic lean gives the district its heavy Democratic influence. The portion of the fifth ward that is part of the district is the main section of Eastwood and is seen as the other half of the district, though in terms of size it is closer to a third of the district. Small parts of the 4th, 16th, and 19th are add-ons to the district.

For our #wonkywednesday articles this year we will be using five races to compare how the subjects of our articles perform. We will be using the Presidential, State Senate, and Congressional races to see how our subject performs in a high turnout federal year. We will also use last year’s Supreme Court Race for a base on how the voters in the district react in a low turnout year. For the City of Syracuse, I am including last year’s mayoral race as well. The 5th Common Council District not only is an exceptionally reliable Democratic district they also vote in large numbers which skews the city heavily Democratic, often making the margin for city wide races. In 2020 Biden won this district by 58.76 points, Rachel May won this district by 51.20 points, and Dana Balter won by 44.13 points. In 2021 Anthony Brindisi performed well here winning by 50.83 points. Mayor Walsh performed well here with 37.57-point margin.

The City of Syracuse Independent redistricting Commission will meet four more times over the next six weeks to hear from the public on what they want from their new districts. They will be holding hearings at each of the city high schools. The first redistricting was on Friday March 18th at ITC High School, and the second at Fowler PSA on March 26th, and third hearing was at Henninger High School at 7pm. You can watch the live streams from Fairmaps CNY here. The final two pre-draft meetings will be April 24th at Corcoran High School at 4pm and April 28th at Nottingham High School at 7pm. You can give testimony about what you would like to see in your city for the next ten years. In May they will release draft maps and another round of hearings will begin.
Commissioner in a Car: The objections have begun.
In this week’s Commissioner in a Car I outline the specific objection process that is starting here and at NYSBOE. I also talk about the start of Independent Nominating petitions that start tomorrow, the NYS Redistricting hearing on April 20, and the fallout from LT Governor Benjamin’s resignation and why he will not be replaces on the primary ballot. Enjoy.
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Zoom with Czarny: Dr. Mara Suttman-Lea
This week I sit down with Dr. Mara Suttman-Lea of the What Voting Means to Me Podcast. We talk about her recent published paper “Can Electoral Management Bodies Expand the Pool of Registered Voters? The Effects of Face-to-Face, Remote, Traditional, and Social Media Outreach.”. We also discuss her podcast and the state of American Democracy. Enjoy.
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Wonky Wednesday: Syracuse’s 4th Common Council District.
Welcome back to #WonkyWednesday. Each week I take a deep dive into the electoral and registration data that make up Onondaga County and New York State. Over the next few weeks, I will be investigating the City of Syracuse. Usually I dedicate #wonkywednesday articles to races happening in the current year, however there are no races in Syracuse this year. I am continuing my run of Syracuse articles to highlight the Syracuse Independent Redistricting Commission will be holding three more public meetings over the next 3 weeks to develop their draft redistricting plan. This citizen led redistricting process depends on you to give input before they redistrict the five common council districts that make up our city. At the end of this article, I will post the next meeting times so you can attend. This week I am focusing on the most diverse Common Council District, Common Council #4.

In the 2020 Census the 4th Common Council district had 29,640 residents. This means the 4th Common Council district sits directly in the middle in terms of population of all five districts and near the ideal average of 29,724. The racial makeup of the Common Council 4 according to the census is 41% white, 39% Black, 10% Hispanic, 8% Asian and 2% other. This makes it the most diverse district of all five in the City of Syracuse. However even with this diversity it is still a White plurality district. Voter registration wise it is 66% Democratic, 7% GOP, 23% Blank or non-enrolled. This is the most Democratic of all five districts but with just 12,324 registered voters it contains the least number of registered voters of all five districts.

This district has always been a tremendously Democratic district. Since 2009 Democrats have lost 485 voters. Once again though the change is in GOP enrollment decline. The GOP has lost 332 voters since 2009 and is solidly in third place. The N/E has also lost voters since 2009, losing fifty-six registrants. More than any other district the voter registration declines and gains are based on the year and rolls with Presidential elections. Syracuse University makes up a large part of this district and urban cores also suffer from registration lapses in between Presidential years.

The third Common Council district stretches over five different wards inside the city. It has parts of the 9th, 12th, 14th, 16th, 17th, 19th wards and all of Wards 15 & 18 wards. Though two inner city wards are encompassed in the fourth district, the district is dominated by the 19th ward portions. This award is made up of two distinct portions of urban low-income residents west of I81 and university populations east of 81. Also, the main campus of Syracuse University (16) and Westcott neighborhood (17) acts a balance to this district setting up two halves in terms of diversity and population. No matter the portion of the district though the Democrats dominate every portion with the non-enrolled dwarfing the GOP.

For our #wonkywednesday articles this year we will be using five races to compare how the subjects of our articles perform. We will be using the Presidential, State Senate, and Congressional races to see how our subject performs in a high turnout federal year. We will also use last year’s Supreme Court Race for a base on how the voters in the district react in a low turnout year. For the City of Syracuse, I am including last year’s mayoral race as well. The 4th Common Council District predictably is the most reliable Democratic performing district in Syracuse. In 2020 Biden won this district by 78.68 points, Rachel May won this district by 71.26 points, and Dana Balter won by 66.72 points. In 2021 Anthony Brindisi performed well here winning by 70.30 points. Despite this being the most diverse district Mayor Walsh still won this district by 20.39 points. However, we should note this is the most competitive district for the Democratic candidate Khalid Bey and it is likely the diversity of this district played a role.

The City of Syracuse Independent redistricting Commission will meet four more times over the next six weeks to hear from the public on what they want from their new districts. They will be holding hearings at each of the city high schools. The first redistricting was on Friday March 18th at ITC High School, and the second at Fowler PSA on March 26th, and third hearing was at Henninger High School at 7pm. You can watch the live streams from Fairmaps CNY here. The final two pre-draft meetings will be April 24th at Corcoran High School at 4pm and April 28th at Nottingham High School at 7pm. You can give testimony about what you would like to see in your city for the next ten years. In May they will release draft maps and another round of hearings will begin.
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Why will NY Lt. Gov. Brian Benjamin likely remain on the ballot after resigning? – Syracuse.com
“I’ve been wracking my brain all day,” Czarny said. “I don’t see an easy way for him to get off the ballot.”
Voting by absentee ballot? NY budget includes $4M for postage-paid envelopes – Auburn Citizen
The state providing the funds to ensure it’s not another unfunded mandate also helps, according to Czarny.
“It blunts opposition, which the biggest opposition to any voting reform has always been local cost,” he said. “The fact that New York state is paying for this and intending for this to be an annual fund that is rolling and part of the budget … that is very helpful.”