The Weekly Wonk: Election Day Turnout the August 22 Primary

Welcome to the #weeklywonk. This is my weekly blog about statistics, registration data, and election law on my website, dustinczarny.com. This is a rebrand of my #wonkywednesday and #sundaythoughts columns I have been writing since 2020. In merging these two side projects together I am hoping to be a little more regular in my production. I have also not tied myself to a particular day to release these columns, hoping to release them weekly on the weekend. This way I can have more time to gather the statistics and resources that I want to devote to these articles. This week I continue my look back at the August 23rd Congressional and State Senate Primary with a breakdown of Election Day Voting.

Election Day for the August 23rd Primary was 6am to 9pm. We had 149 polling places open in Onondaga County. There were county wide congressional races for the Democrats and Republicans. There was also a conservative race for #SD48 which includes Syracuse, and the southern and western border towns. In contrast the to the June primary there were actual local candidates driving turnout and not just statewide races.

There were 26492 Election Day voters in the August 22nd primary. This represented 78% of the overall electorate and by far the most popular voting method. Early Voting was second with 4154 (12%), followed by Absentee 3069 (9%) and Affidavit 181 (1%). Democrats used Election Day more with 15,060 voters (57%). Republicans had 11,134 election day voters (42%) and Conservatives 298 (1%). For the August Primary Democrats outnumbered Republicans in every method of voting.

There were more voters overall in the August primary and that held true for the August Primary. Election Day voting at 78.43% was the most popular method, but the smallest share of turnout since the pandemic primary of June 2020. When comparing to the June Primary there were more 3220 more Election Day voters an increase of 13.8%. However, the voting share of election Day fell by nearly 3% overall. This is likely because the oddly timed primary prompted voters to seek more alternative methods.

St. Joseph’s Parish in Camillus took over the top spot of polling places with 474 voters and last primary’s top polling place N. Syracuse School District fell to second place at 470. Also returning to the top ten of polling places are Manlius Village Centre (459), Immaculate Conception (412), Spiritual Renewal (398), Marcellus Firehouse (395), and Camillus Municipal (353). Three new polling places climbed into the top ten Skaneateles Fire Department (414), Skaneateles Presbyterian (376) and Bellevue Heights (358). The #SD48 conservative race featured a Skaneateles resident (Julie Abbott) and in a low turnout election even small influxes of conservative voters could surge those two Skaneateles polling places to the top ten. Dropping out of the top ten is N. Syracuse Community Center, E. Syracuse Fire Department #2, and Gillette Middle Road School. In N. Syracuse’s case they were a combined polling place with Bellewood Baptist for June only as they had vacation bible school in June.

On Election Day during primaries there is a definitive pattern in busiest hours. Early in the morning is light turnout in the first hour 6am to 7am (468 in August). Turnout rises steadily to its first apex from 10am to 11 Am (2108 in August). Voting then dips a bit and levels off until 4pm. It then rises sharply with the 5pm to 6pm hour the biggest (2819 in August). The hours of 4pmto 5pm and 6pm to 7pm are usually the second and third highest hours all day as well making the busiest time of voting 4pm-7pm (7,544 voters 28.5% of the overall Election Day Vote.). After 7pm voting drops substantially until close of polls. There are always a few voters who check in after 9pm because they walk through the door at 9 but take a few minutes to check in (4 countywide in August).

That does it for this edition of the #weeklyWonk. Next week I will finish my look at the August 23rd Primary by diving into the Overall Turnout performance. After that we resume our look at voter registrations for the General Election with Senate Seats #50 & #48 as well as the towns of Manlius, Onondaga, and Pompey. Check back each week.

Subscribe to dustinczarny.com for all content and elections updates.

Zoom with Czarny: Christina Cagnina For Supreme Court

This week I sit down with Christina Cagnina, candidate for Supreme Court in the 5th Judicial District. We talk about her background, what Supreme Court does, and the rigors of running in one of the largest districts in NY politics. Enjoy.

Subscribe to dustinczarny.com for content and election news updates

My letter to Onondaga County Democratic Elections Commissioners seeking re-election

I believe in transparency in my role as Onondaga County Elections Commissioner. That is why I started this website. In that spirit I am releasing the letter I have emailed and mailed to Onondaga County Democratic Committee members. The vote is October 6th and I have learned I am unopposed however I think it is important to ask for their nomination anyway. I also hope this gives you some insight on my philosophy and goals as one of your elections commissioners.

Being Sworn in for my 5th term as Elections Commissioner in 2020

Dear Democratic Committee Members,

            Ten years ago, you gave me the immense honor of nominating me to be your Democratic elections Commissioner.  I had no idea then what a momentous point this would become in my life.  This was never a job for me.  This was and remains a mission.  It has now become a fundamental tenet to who I am and outside my family, the main driving force in my life.  I would have it no other way.  That is why I come before you today to humbly ask for your nomination again for another two-year term.

Testifying in front of the NYS Senate Elections Law Committee 2018

            The last decade as Elections Commissioner has seen major change in the electoral landscape in New York and Onondaga County.  Most of these changes came as a result of the Democratic takeover of New York Government during the last midterm election in 2019.  We have instituted Early Voting, and its expansion.  Universal registration has made it easier for voters to move from county to county.  Expanded polling options on campuses have allowed us to serve Lemoyne, Syracuse University, and Onondaga Community College better, including winning the long battle to having a campus Early Voting site at OCC.  Expanded use of absentee voting during the pandemic has highlighted the need to change the way we canvass absentees in New York.  I advised and advocated for the bill that made it possible for us to eliminate challenges of absentees and report results on election nights instead of weeks later.

Showing the filing system and security of absentee ballots in 2020.

            I have also tried to make the Onondaga County Board of Elections the most transparent Board in all of New York State.  Over the last ten years we have used our website, onvote.net, to make it easier for voters and campaigns to get the information they need.  Voters can get links to check their registration and polling place, apply for and track their absentee, and tools for registering for the first time.  Our results reporting system gives more data on Election Night than ever before allowing the press and campaigns to know who has and hasn’t reported in real time.  We have expanded our results page to include election results going back to 1960 and more is on the way.  We also have expanded statistics page tracking BOE performance since 2009.

Addressing the Democratic Caucus of Commissioners at the NYSECA Winter Conference January 2018

            Since 2017 I have also had the honor of being the Democratic Caucus Chair of the New York State Elections Commissioner Association.  In this role I lead all 62 counties in New York in organizing the Democratic Commissioners and leading them through this tumultuous ever changing electoral landscape in New York.  In this role I have been honored to testify several times at the New York State Legislature.  I have worked with legislative leaders to introduce, amend, and pass legislation that will make it easier for voters and bring more responsibilities and resources to Boards of Elections statewide. 

Press Conference announcing lawsuit over the Onondaga County Gerrymandered legislative lines.

            The last four years of my professional career have been dedicated to the cause of fair redistricting.  As the 2020 census loomed, I realized the need to change the way we normally redistrict.  I partnered with Helen Hudson and Chris Ryan to start Fair Maps CNY.  We joined forces with Common Cause to change the way we redistrict inside the City of Syracuse and Onondaga County.  In the City of Syracuse, we successfully passed a charter change that ensures all redistricting will be done by an independent citizen led panel.  This Panel reshaped City districts and successfully had their map passed by the Common Council this month.  Unfortunately, we have not been as successful with the County Legislative redistricting process which is why I have joined the Democratic Caucus lawsuit to challenge the illegal gerrymander of the County lines.

My regular programs on dustinczarny.com

            I have personally expanded my own educational outreach as well.  During the pandemic I formally expanded my occasional Commissioner in a Car segments to a weekly podcast.  I also have added a weekly interview video/podcast Zoom with Czarny interviewing candidates and Democracy advocates.  I added a weekly blog The Weekly Wonk to dig into statistics and election law.  All of this is hosted at my personal website dustinczarny.com.  I do this on my own time with my own money and never take outside donations or advertisements as this is part of my mission to educate the public.

Addressing the Onondaga County Democratic Committee in 2016

            We have a unique opportunity in Onondaga County.  The changing demographics are allowing us to compete in the suburbs and county wide.  For the first time in my over 25-year career in this party the electorate is ready for Democratic government in all corners of our county and county wide.  However, to truly take advantage of this we need unity.  There will be change in our party with a new leadership taking over this October.  We also have a chance at taking congress this year.  I urge all of us running for office on October 6th to unite on October 7th and focus on this year’s races while preparing for the county races next year.  Unity does not mean that we abandon races or differences of ideology.  What it does mean is we find ways to embrace every party of our party, be transparent as possible, and put aside our differences to win the general elections each year. I pledge to be part of that effort if you honor me with your vote for another term as Elections Commissioner. 

Sincerely,

Dustin Czarny

Onondaga County Elections Commissioner (D)

Subscribe to dustinczarny.com for all election news and content updates

National Voter Registration Day: Register to vote here – Newschannel9

NewsChannel 9 spoke with Onondaga County Democratic Elections Commissioner Dustin Czarny about how people can check if they are registered to vote before early voting begins in just 39 days.

https://www.localsyr.com/news/national-voter-registration-day-register-to-vote-here/

Commissioner in a Car: National Voter Registration Day and important Dates for the General Election

Important dates for the General Election

Registration

October 14 last day to register in person or by mail

October 19 last day to change address Update address Change party

Absentee

September 23 absentees start to be delivered

October 24 last day to apply by mail

November 7 last day to apply in person

November 8 last day to drop off or postmark absentee

Early Voting

October 29 – November 6

10 locations

9-5 weekends, 10-6 Monday Thursday Friday, 12-8 Tuesday and Wednesday

Election Day

November 8 6am to 9pm

Election Night Reporting Early Vote, Election Day, Absentees received on or before November 6

Absentees received November 7 and after and affidavits will be totaled by November 21

Go to onvote.net to check your registration, apply for an absentee, or find your polling place or Early Voting locations.

Subscribe to dustinczarny.com for all election news and content updates

Special elections are confusing, chaotic messes that bleed taxpayers — and could often be avoided if politicians quit before leveling up, flaming out, or dropping dead – Insider

“We’re used to having to think on our feet now in New York,” Dustin Czarny, a Democratic election commissioner in Syracuse-based Onondaga County, told Insider. “I have to be honest: This year is the worst.”

https://www.businessinsider.com/special-elections-congress-vote-alaska-gerontocracy-2022-9

The Weekly Wonk: Absentee Voting in August Primary

Welcome to the #weeklywonk. This is my weekly blog about statistics, registration data, and election law on my website, dustinczarny.com. This is a rebrand of my #wonkywednesday and #sundaythoughts columns I have been writing since 2020. In merging these two side projects together I am hoping to be a little more regular in my production. I have also not tied myself to a particular day to release these columns, hoping to release them weekly on the weekend. This way I can have more time to gather the statistics and resources that I want to devote to these articles. This week I start my look back at the August 23rd Congressional and State Senate Primary with a breakdown of Absentee Voting.

 Absentee Voting has seen an increase in usage over the last few years as the pandemic made in-person voting problematic for segments of the voting population. In the June 2020 primary at the height of the pandemic we saw almost 70% of ballots cast via absentee. However, as vaccines have started to normalize left, we have seen a receding usage. The failure of the no-fault absentee constitutional amendment last year makes it likely that we will see pre-pandemic usage in the future. One major change is different this year. We no longer wait weeks to count absentees for weeks after Election Day opening them up to needless challenges. This is resulting in less ballots that are actually returned being ruled invalid.

For the August 2022 Primary we had congressional primaries countywide for Democrats and GOP and a conservative party primary for the #SD48. For the August 23, 2022, primary we issued 5,824 absentee ballots. 3,044 (50%) ballots were returned and successfully cast. 2755 (46%) were not returned by the voters. 222 (4%) were returned as undeliverable meaning the address on file was no longer correct. This usually happens when a permanent absentee voter moves without updating their address. Only 53 (1%) ballots were ruled invalid after being returned. Of the 3069 Returned ballots, 2133 (69%) were by Democratic voters, 916 30% were by GOP voters, and 20 (1%) by conservative voters.

In terms of raw absentees being sent out the August 23rd primary was one of the highest absentee counts since 2017 (we do not have data readily available before then for primary absentees). It was only eclipsed by the pandemic year of 2020. It should be noted the primaries for 2017, 2019, and 2021 were generally city-only primaries and behave differently then the county wide primaries in 2018, 2020, and 2022. What we see from the data is despite the waning of the pandemic, the absentee usage is showing signs of continuing to grow. Significantly both of 2022’s split primaries were consistently just over 9% of the votes cast where the 2018 pre pandemic primaries were around 6.5%. When the pandemic excuse lapses this year, we will see if that usage continues.

We also saw an increase in affidavit usage from the June primary with 241 voters using affidavits during Early Voting and Election Day. This is up from two hundred in the June Primary and correlates to the slightly higher turnout we saw in August. 169 Democrats filled out Affidavit ballots, 72 Republican voters. Of the returned affidavits Democrats only had thirty-three ballots rejected, the GOP 27 ballots were rejected. This meant that 75.1% of the affidavit ballots were ruled valid and counted with the final results.

Of the Affidavit ballots rejected the most common reason (47) were because the voter was not enrolled in the party in which they wished to cast a ballot. This is always the most common reason for rejection in a primary. Six affidavit voters had voted by absentee, and we received the absentee ballot, so their affidavit did not count, another six voted at the wrong polling place. Three affidavit voters were not registered to vote at all. We did have fifty-three absentee ballots that were returned but not counted. OF those the most common (25) were ballots returned with a postmark date later then election day. Another twenty-four ballots required a cure for a variety of reasons and did not return the cure paperwork. Another four ballots were ruled invalid during opening with marks or other issues on the ballot itself. No voters returned absentees after voting in person and no inspectors who were issued special ballots did not work ruling their ballot invalid.

That does it for this edition of the #weeklyWonk. Next week I will continue my look at the August 23rd Primary by diving into the Election Day Voting performance. We will continue looking back at the extra primary the rest of September before we resume the look at voter registrations for the General Election Senate Seats #50 & #48 as well as the towns of Manlius, Onondaga, and Pompey. Check back each week.

Subscribe to dustinczarny.com for all content and elections updates.

Zoom with Czarny: Ryan Suser for Onondaga Town Board

This week I sit down with Ryan Suser. He is running to fill a vacancy on the Onondaga Town Board. We talk about running for a local seat in a national year. Enjoy. You can follow his campaign with the Onondaga Town Democrats here: https://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100064703614923

Subscribe to dustinczarny.com for all election and content updates

Commissioner in a Car: Syracuse has new maps

I talk mostly about the long road to getting Citizen led maps passed by the Syracuse Common Council and the City of Syracuse Redistricting Commission. You can view the new maps here: https://linktr.ee/syredistricting

Subscribe to dustinczarny.com for all content and election news updates

Syracuse lawmakers approve new Common Council districts drawn by citizen-led commission – WRVO

Onondaga County Elections Commissioner Dustin Czarny thinks other governments could follow suit.

“I think this is a win for citizen-led redistricting, and I think people across the state are going to be looking at this.”

https://www.wrvo.org/2022-09-13/syracuse-lawmakers-approve-new-common-council-districts-drawn-by-citizen-led-commission